TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
COF Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:30 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
COF (Capital One Financial) at $208.34. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 83% / put 17%, call $767,180 vs put $157,160. RSI 35.1.
- Symbol
- COF
- Price
- $208.34
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 15:30:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment: Bullish
- Call dollar volume: $767,180 (83% of total)
- Put dollar volume: $157,160 (17% of total)
The options flow indicates a bullish sentiment, with a significant majority of call buying.
Key Statistics: COF
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 12.40 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 3.48 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $16.70 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 9.24% |
| Net Margin | 16.96% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $62.02B |
| Debt/Equity | 4.92 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for COF include:
- Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) announced its acquisition of Discover Financial Services, expanding its presence in the credit card and banking sectors.
- COF reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations due to increased consumer spending and lower charge-offs.
- The company announced plans to increase its share buyback program, indicating confidence in its financial position and future prospects.
These headlines suggest potential positive catalysts for COF's stock price, including strategic acquisitions, strong financial performance, and shareholder value initiatives.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals:
- Revenue: $62,023,000,000
- Trailing EPS: $16.70
- Trailing P/E: 12.40
- Debt/Equity: 4.92
- Return on Equity (ROE): 9.24%
COF's fundamentals indicate a stable financial position with a reasonable P/E ratio and a strong ROE. However, the high debt/equity ratio may be a concern for some investors.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $208.32
Recent price action shows a slight decline, but the stock is still trading within a recent range.
Key support levels: $205.30 (30-day low), $206.79 (Bollinger Band lower bound)
Key resistance levels: $228.14 (30-day high), $216.31 (50-day SMA)
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend:
- RSI (14) at 35.14, indicating oversold conditions
- MACD at -0.84, signaling a bearish crossover
- 50-day SMA at $212.39, acting as resistance
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment: Bullish
- Call dollar volume: $767,180 (83% of total)
- Put dollar volume: $157,160 (17% of total)
The options flow indicates a bullish sentiment, with a significant majority of call buying.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
COF is projected for $207.50 to $215.00
This range is based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, considering support and resistance levels.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $210 call, sell $215 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $205 put, sell $200 put
- Iron Condor: Iron Condor with strikes $200, $205, $210, $215
These strategies align with the projected price range and offer defined risk.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI oversold conditions
- Sentiment divergences: Bullish options flow vs bearish technicals
- Volatility: ATR at 4.56, indicating moderate volatility
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Neutral
Conviction level: Medium
Trade idea: Monitor COF for a potential bounce from oversold conditions, considering defined risk strategies.
View COF Options Chain