CME Trading Analysis - 09/16/2026 03:08 PM โ€” TRU-SENTIMENT

CME (CME Group Inc.) at $270.81. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 17% / put 83%, call $246,360 vs put $1,215,810. RSI 38.1.

TRU-SENTIMENT ยท DeltaNeutral

CME Trading Analysis - 09/16/2026 03:08 PM โ€” TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain ยท Stock chart ยท Baseline chart

CME (CME Group Inc.) at $270.81. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 17% / put 83%, call $246,360 vs put $1,215,810. RSI 38.1.

Symbol
CME
Price
$270.81
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
neutral
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-16 15:08:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

The overall options flow sentiment is Bearish, with a put-to-call ratio of 83.2% to 16.8%.

The call dollar volume is $246,360, and the put dollar volume is $1,215,810, indicating a strong bearish bias in options trading.

This sentiment analysis diverges from the technical indicators, which suggest a more bullish outlook.

Key Statistics: CME

$275.09 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$218.31 - $329.16
Market Cap
$298.44B
P/E (TTM)
23.33
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$2.37M
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)23.33
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/Book11.25

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)$11.79
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE16.16%
Net Margin63.30%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$6.77B
Debt/Equity6.34
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

๐Ÿ“ˆ Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for CME include: - CME Group to Launch Micro Eurodollar Futures - CME Group Reports Record Trading Volume - Global exchange operator CME Group eyes more crypto listings

These headlines suggest that CME is actively expanding its product offerings and experiencing significant trading activity. However, the impact of these developments on the stock price needs to be analyzed in conjunction with technical and sentiment data.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals, CME has: - Revenue: $6,772,600,000 - Trailing EPS: $11.79 - Trailing P/E: 23.33 - Price-to-Book: 11.25 - Debt-to-Equity: 6.34 - Return on Equity (ROE): 16.16%

The company's profit margins are strong, with an operating margin of 65.10% and a profit margin of 63.30%. The ROE indicates efficient use of shareholder capital. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio may be a concern for some investors.

The fundamental analysis suggests that CME has a solid financial foundation, but the high valuation (P/E of 23.33) might indicate that the stock is not undervalued.

Current Market Position:

The current price of CME is $270.73.

Recent price action shows that CME has been trading in a range, with support around $270 and resistance near $280.

Intraday momentum and trends from minute bars indicate a slightly bearish bias, with the stock struggling to break above the $275 level.

Technical Analysis:

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
38.13
MACD
Bullish
50-day SMA
$264.95

The 50-day SMA is at $264.95, and the stock is currently trading above this level, indicating a slightly bullish trend.

The RSI (14) is at 38.13, which suggests that the stock is approaching oversold territory.

The MACD indicates a bullish signal, which supports the potential for further upside.

Bollinger Bands show that the stock is trading near the lower band, which could indicate a potential bounce.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

The overall options flow sentiment is Bearish, with a put-to-call ratio of 83.2% to 16.8%.

The call dollar volume is $246,360, and the put dollar volume is $1,215,810, indicating a strong bearish bias in options trading.

This sentiment analysis diverges from the technical indicators, which suggest a more bullish outlook.

Key Price Levels (observational only):

Support
$270.00
Resistance
$280.00

Key support levels are around $270, and resistance levels are near $280.

25-Day Price Forecast:

CME is projected for $275.00 to $285.50

This forecast is based on the current technical trends, momentum, and indicators. The 50-day SMA and RSI momentum suggest a potential upside, while the bearish sentiment in options trading could lead to increased volatility.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, consider the following defined risk strategies:

These strategies align with the projected price range and offer a defined risk approach to trading CME.

Risk Factors:

Technical warning signs include the bearish divergence in options sentiment and potential volatility.

Sentiment divergences from price action could lead to increased volatility.

ATR considerations suggest that volatility may increase in the near term.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Neutral

Conviction level: Medium

One-line trade idea: Consider defined risk strategies to capitalize on potential price movements in CME.


View CME Options Chain
Iron Condor 260-270 Iron Condor at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Bear Put Spread 270 260 270-260 Bear Put Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Bull Call Spread 270 280 270-280 Bull Call Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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