TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
CME Trading Analysis - 09/16/2026 02:24 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
CME (CME Group Inc.) at $270.50. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 17% / put 83%, call $258,090 vs put $1,259,410. RSI 37.9.
- Symbol
- CME
- Price
- $270.50
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-16 14:24:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a put-to-call ratio of 83:17. The total dollar volume is $1,517,500, with $258,090 in call volume and $1,259,410 in put volume.
The bearish sentiment suggests that traders are expecting the stock price to decline in the near term.
Key Statistics: CME
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 23.33 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 11.25 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $11.79 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 16.16% |
| Net Margin | 63.30% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.77B |
| Debt/Equity | 6.34 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for CME include: - CME Group to launch new futures contracts for the European gas market. - The company reported a strong quarterly earnings report, beating analyst expectations. - CME Group has been expanding its presence in the cryptocurrency market with new product launches.
These headlines suggest that CME is actively expanding its product offerings and has a strong financial performance, which could be positively impacting the stock price.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data, CME has: - A market capitalization of $298,442,940,280. - A trailing EPS of $11.79 and a trailing P/E ratio of 23.33. - A debt-to-equity ratio of 6.34, indicating a relatively high level of debt. - An operating margin of 65.10% and a profit margin of 63.30%, indicating strong profitability.
The fundamentals suggest that CME has a strong financial performance, but the high debt-to-equity ratio could be a concern.
Current Market Position:
The current price of CME is $270.46. Recent price action shows that the stock has been trading in a range, with a recent high of $281.36 and a low of $270.16.
Key support and resistance levels are: - Support: $270.16 (recent low) - Resistance: $281.36 (recent high)
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators suggest that: - The RSI is oversold, indicating a potential buying opportunity. - The MACD is bullish, indicating a potential uptrend. - The 50-day SMA is $264.94, indicating that the stock is currently trading above this level.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a put-to-call ratio of 83:17. The total dollar volume is $1,517,500, with $258,090 in call volume and $1,259,410 in put volume.
The bearish sentiment suggests that traders are expecting the stock price to decline in the near term.
Key Price Levels:
These levels are based on recent price action and may act as barriers or targets for the stock price.
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, CME is projected for $265.00 to $280.00. This range is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR).
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, we recommend the following defined risk strategies: - Bear Put spread: 275/285 put spread (buy 275 put, sell 285 put) with a strike price of $285.00 and expiration date of 2026-10-16. - Bear call spread: 270/280 call spread (sell 270 call, buy 280 call) with a strike price of $270.00 and expiration date of 2026-10-16. - Iron condor: 265/275/285/295 iron condor with strike prices of $265.00, $275.00, $285.00, and $295.00 and expiration date of 2026-10-16.
These strategies align with the bearish sentiment and price forecast.
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs or weaknesses: - The high debt-to-equity ratio could be a concern. - The bearish sentiment could lead to a decline in the stock price.
Volatility and ATR considerations: - The recent volatility (ATR) could impact the stock price movement.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bearish Conviction level: Medium One-line trade idea: CME may decline in the near term due to bearish sentiment and technical indicators.