TRU-SENTIMENT ยท DeltaNeutral
CLMT Trading Analysis - 09/22/2026 05:27 PM โ TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain ยท Stock chart ยท Baseline chart
CLMT (Calumet, Inc. Common Stock) at $55.68. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 80% / put 20%, call $1,078,940 vs put $274,510. RSI 71.5.
- Symbol
- CLMT
- Price
- $55.68
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-22 17:27:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $1,078,940
- Put dollar volume: $274,510
The options flow sentiment is bullish, indicating near-term expectations of a price increase.
Key Statistics: CLMT
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | -1,156.73 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | -26.42 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | N/A |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 2.28% |
| Net Margin | -0.29% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.15B |
| Debt/Equity | -3.97 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
๐ Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for CLMT include:
- CLMT announced a new project expansion, increasing production capacity by 15%.
- The company reported a surge in quarterly revenue, beating analyst expectations.
- CLMT's management team has been actively engaging with investors, hosting multiple investor conferences.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for CLMT, with potential for increased revenue and growth. However, it's essential to analyze the technical and fundamental data to understand the current market position and potential future movements.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Total Revenue: $4,149,500,000
- Gross Margins: 10.45%
- Operating Margins: 6.28%
- Profit Margins: -0.29%
- Debt/Equity: -3.97
- ROE: 2.28%
The negative profit margins and high debt-to-equity ratio are concerns. However, the gross and operating margins indicate some level of profitability. The fundamentals suggest a cautious approach, as the company's financial health is not robust.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $56.42
Recent price action shows a slight decline, with the stock trading near its recent lows.
Key support levels: $55.54 (intraday low), $48.07 (50-day SMA)
Key resistance levels: $58.32 (intraday high), $59.87 (30-day high)
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $58.12
- 20-day SMA: $53.84
- 50-day SMA: $48.07
RSI (14): 71.49 (overbought territory)
MACD: Bullish (3.18, 2.54, 0.64)
Bollinger Bands: Middle band at $53.84, upper band at $62.15, lower band at $45.54
The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, but the RSI indicates overbought conditions.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $1,078,940
- Put dollar volume: $274,510
The options flow sentiment is bullish, indicating near-term expectations of a price increase.
Key Price Levels:
Support levels:
- $55.54 (intraday low)
- $48.07 (50-day SMA)
Resistance levels:
- $58.32 (intraday high)
- $59.87 (30-day high)
25-Day Price Forecast:
CLMT is projected for $57.50 to $62.00
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to trade within this range.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $55 strike call, $2.40 bid, $2.80 ask; Sell $60 strike call, $1.95 bid, $2.40 ask
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $50 strike put, $0.95 bid, $1.20 ask; Sell $55 strike put, $1.50 bid, $1.80 ask
- Iron Condor: Sell $55 strike call, $2.40 bid, $2.80 ask; Buy $60 strike call, $1.95 bid, $2.40 ask; Sell $50 strike put, $1.50 bid, $1.80 ask; Buy $45 strike put, $0.60 bid, $0.80 ask
These strategies align with the projected price range and offer a defined risk approach.
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs:
- RSI overbought conditions
Sentiment divergences:
- None apparent
Volatility and ATR considerations:
- ATR: 2.32
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: CLMT shows bullish momentum, but overbought conditions suggest caution.
View CLMT Options Chain