CHTR Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 05:15 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for Charter Communications (CHTR) include:

• Charter Communications reports strong Q2 earnings, beating analyst expectations.
• The company announces a new $5 billion share buyback program.
• CHTR's stock surges as broadband subscriber growth exceeds forecasts.

These headlines suggest positive momentum for CHTR, driven by strong financial performance and strategic initiatives.

Fundamental Analysis:

Based on the provided fundamentals data:

• Total Revenue: $54.40 billion
• Trailing EPS: $38.41
• Trailing P/E: 3.66
• Debt/Equity: 4.29
• Return on Equity (ROE): 26.25%
• Operating Margins: 23.28%
• Profit Margins: 10.57%

CHTR's fundamentals indicate a strong revenue base, healthy profitability, and decent valuation metrics. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio warrants caution.

Current Market Position:

CHTR's current price is $145.77. Recent price action shows:

• Intraday momentum: Neutral, with slight fluctuations around $145.77.
• Recent price action: Closed at $145.77 on 2026-09-11, with a high of $146.18 and low of $139.17.

Technical Analysis:

Key observations:

• SMA trends: Price above 50-day SMA ($143.35) but below 20-day SMA ($149.27).
• RSI: Neutral at 47.09, indicating no extreme oversold or overbought conditions.
• MACD: Bearish at -0.51, suggesting potential downward momentum.
• Bollinger Bands: Price near the middle band, indicating normal volatility.
• 30-day high/low: $160.70 (high) and $133.33 (low), with price currently in the middle range.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Options sentiment data:

• Call dollar volume: $700,290
• Put dollar volume: $494,870
• Total dollar volume: $1,195,160
• Call %: 58.6%
• Put %: 41.4%
• Sentiment: Balanced

The options flow sentiment is balanced, with a slight inclination towards calls (58.6%). This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish near-term expectation.

Key Price Levels:

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current trends and indicators:

CHTR is projected for $147.50 to $152.20

Rationale:

• Assuming current SMA trends continue, with 50-day SMA as support.
• RSI momentum expected to build, potentially driving price higher.
• MACD signals suggesting potential for upward movement.
• Recent volatility (ATR $7.77) factored into the projected range.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the 25-day forecast ($147.50 to $152.20) and option chain data:

1. Bull Call Spread: Buy CHTR 2026-10-16 145C @ $9.30, Sell CHTR 2026-10-16 150C @ $6.90. Net debit: $2.40. Targets $150-$152 range.
2. Iron Condor: Sell CHTR 2026-10-16 145P @ $7.70, Buy CHTR 2026-10-16 140P @ $4.80, Sell CHTR 2026-10-16 150C @ $6.90, Buy CHTR 2026-10-16 155C @ $5.20. Net credit: $2.70. Profit potential: $2.70 - $3.30.
3. Protective Put: Buy CHTR 2026-10-16 140P @ $4.80. Provides downside protection to $140.

Risk Factors:

• Technical warning signs: MACD bearish signal.
• High debt-to-equity ratio.
• Increased volatility (ATR $7.77).

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall bias: Neutral to slightly bullish.

Conviction level: Medium.

One-line trade idea: Consider defined risk strategies like bull call spreads or iron condors given balanced sentiment and technical indicators.