CHTR Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 04:33 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for Charter Communications (CHTR) include:

• Charter Communications reports strong Q2 earnings, beating analyst expectations.
• The company announces a new $5 billion share buyback program.
• CHTR's stock surges as broadband subscriber growth exceeds forecasts.

These headlines suggest positive momentum for CHTR, driven by strong financial performance and strategic initiatives.

Fundamental Analysis:

Revenue and Profit Margins: CHTR's total revenue is $54.40 billion, with an operating margin of 23.28% and a profit margin of 10.57%.

Earnings Per Share (EPS): The trailing EPS is $38.41, indicating a relatively high earnings figure.

Valuation: The trailing P/E ratio is 3.66, and the price-to-book ratio is 1.65. These metrics suggest that CHTR might be undervalued compared to its earnings and assets.

Debt and Equity: The debt-to-equity ratio is 4.29, indicating a relatively high level of debt. However, the return on equity (ROE) is 26.25%, suggesting efficient use of shareholder capital.

Current Market Position:

Current Price and Recent Action: The current price is $145.77. Recent price action shows a slight increase, with the stock trading near its recent highs.

Support and Resistance: Key support levels are around $140, and resistance levels are near $150.

Technical Analysis:

SMA Trends: The 5-day SMA is $143.59, the 20-day SMA is $149.27, and the 50-day SMA is $143.35. The stock is currently trading above its 5-day and 50-day SMAs but below its 20-day SMA.

RSI: The RSI (14) is 47.09, indicating a neutral level with slight downward momentum.

MACD: The MACD is -0.51, with a signal line at -0.40 and a histogram of -0.10. This suggests a bearish signal but with a minimal gap.

Bollinger Bands: The middle band is at $149.27, with an upper band at $160.27 and a lower band at $138.26. The stock is trading near the lower band, suggesting potential support.

30-Day High/Low: The 30-day high is $160.70, and the 30-day low is $133.33. CHTR is currently trading in the upper range of its 30-day price action.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

The overall options flow sentiment is balanced, with a call dollar volume of $700,290 and a put dollar volume of $494,870. The call percentage is 58.6%, indicating a slight bullish bias in options trading.

Key Price Levels:

Support: $140, $145.

Resistance: $150, $155.

25-Day Price Forecast:

Based on current trends, CHTR is projected for $147.50 to $153.20 in 25 days, assuming the stock maintains its current trajectory and momentum.

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast and option chain data:

• Bull Call Spread: Buy the $145 call and sell the $150 call, expiring on 2026-10-16. This strategy benefits from a price increase towards $153.
• Iron Condor: Sell the $145 put and buy the $140 put, while selling the $150 call and buying the $155 call, expiring on 2026-10-16. This strategy profits from a stable price range.
• Protective Put: Buy the $140 put, expiring on 2026-10-16, to hedge against potential downside risk.

Risk Factors:

Technical Weakness: A break below $140 could signal further downside.

Sentiment Divergences: A shift in options sentiment could impact the stock price.

Volatility: High ATR of 7.77 indicates potential for large price swings.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall Bias: Neutral with a slight bullish bias.

Conviction Level: Medium, based on alignment of indicators and options sentiment.

Trade Idea: Monitor CHTR for a breakout above $150 or a drop below $140 for clearer directional bias.