TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
CBRL Trading Analysis - 09/16/2026 10:17 AM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
CBRL (Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.) at $45.92. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 43% / put 57%, call $3,070 vs put $4,095. RSI 18.1.
- Symbol
- CBRL
- Price
- $45.92
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-16 10:17:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Options flow sentiment is balanced, with a call dollar volume of $3,070 and a put dollar volume of $4,095.
The balanced sentiment suggests that there is no clear directional bias in the options market.
Key Statistics: CBRL
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 39.26 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 2.19 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $1.15 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 5.63% |
| Net Margin | 0.79% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.34B |
| Debt/Equity | 3.49 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for CBRL include:
- Cracker Barrel (CBRL) reports a decline in same-store sales for Q4 2026, citing increased competition and changing consumer behavior.
- The company announces plans to revamp its menu and improve customer experience to boost sales.
- CBRL faces pressure from activist investors to improve profitability and increase shareholder value.
These headlines suggest that CBRL is facing challenges in its core business and is working to address them through strategic changes. The technical and sentiment data may reflect these efforts.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $3,337,381,000
- Trailing EPS: $1.15
- Trailing P/E: 39.26
- Price-to-Book: 2.19
- Debt-to-Equity: 3.49
- Return on Equity (ROE): 5.63%
The fundamentals indicate that CBRL has a relatively high P/E ratio, which may suggest overvaluation. However, the company's revenue and EPS provide a foundation for further analysis.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $45.85
Recent price action shows a decline in the stock price, with the current price near the lower end of its 30-day range ($44.99 - $60.26).
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators suggest that:
- RSI (14) is 18.15, indicating oversold conditions.
- MACD is -2.19, indicating a bearish signal.
- The 50-day SMA is $54.37, which is above the current price, indicating a downtrend.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Options flow sentiment is balanced, with a call dollar volume of $3,070 and a put dollar volume of $4,095.
The balanced sentiment suggests that there is no clear directional bias in the options market.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
CBRL is projected for $40.50 to $48.20
The 25-day price forecast is based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators. The forecast considers the oversold RSI, bearish MACD, and recent volatility (ATR).
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, consider the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy CBRL 261016C00045000 ($3.30) and sell CBRL 261016C00050000 ($1.90), expiring on 2026-10-16.
- Bear Put Spread: Buy CBRL 261016P00045000 ($2.90) and sell CBRL 261016P00040000 ($1.10), expiring on 2026-10-16.
- Iron Condor: Sell CBRL 261016C00042500 ($4.90) and buy CBRL 261016C00047500 ($2.30), while selling CBRL 261016P00042500 ($2.00) and buying CBRL 261016P00037500 ($0.85), expiring on 2026-10-16.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: oversold RSI and bearish MACD.
- Sentiment divergences: balanced options flow sentiment.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: recent price decline.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: bearish
Conviction level: medium
One-line trade idea: Consider defined risk strategies based on the price forecast and technical indicators.
View CBRL Options Chain