BX Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:22 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for Blackstone Inc. (BX) include:

• Blackstone's real estate fund raises $34 billion, nears record
• Blackstone to acquire $1.6 billion UK hotel portfolio
• Blackstone's quarterly distributable earnings beat estimates

These headlines suggest a positive outlook for Blackstone, with significant fundraising and strategic acquisitions. However, the impact of these events on the stock price needs to be analyzed in conjunction with technical and sentiment data.

Fundamental Analysis:

Revenue and Profit Margins: Blackstone's total revenue is $16,110,480,000. The profit margins are as follows:

• Gross Margins: Not provided
• Operating Margins: 47.16%
• Net Margins: 42.37%

Earnings Per Share (EPS) and P/E Ratio: The trailing EPS is $4.47, and the trailing P/E ratio is 28.87.

Valuation and Key Metrics: The price-to-book ratio is 14.52, and the debt-to-equity ratio is 0.63. The return on equity (ROE) is 32.41%.

Overall, Blackstone's fundamentals indicate a strong financial position with healthy profit margins and a reasonable valuation.

Current Market Position:

Current Price and Recent Price Action: The current price of BX is $125.41. Recent price action shows a decline from $137.20 on August 11 to $125.41 on September 10.

Key Support and Resistance Levels: From the daily history, key support levels are around $125.03 (September 10 low), and resistance levels are around $137.20 (August 11 high).

Intraday Momentum and Trends: The minute bars show a slight recovery in the last few minutes of trading on September 10, but overall, the trend appears bearish in the short term.

Technical Analysis:

SMA Trends: The 5-day SMA is $132.46, the 20-day SMA is $139.98, and the 50-day SMA is $133.40. The price is currently below all these averages, indicating a bearish trend.

RSI Interpretation: The RSI is 18.3, indicating oversold conditions.

MACD Signals: The MACD is -1.08, suggesting a bearish signal.

Bollinger Bands: The price is near the lower Bollinger Band, which could act as support.

30-day High/Low: The current price is $125.41, and the 30-day range is $125.03 (low) to $150.24 (high).

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall Options Flow Sentiment: The sentiment is bullish, with a call dollar volume of $2,170,566 and a put dollar volume of $1,418,447.

Call vs Put Dollar Volume Analysis: Calls represent 60.5% of the total dollar volume, indicating a bullish conviction.

Pure Directional Positioning: The pure directional positioning suggests near-term bullish expectations.

No significant divergence is noted between technical indicators and sentiment.

Key Price Levels:

25-Day Price Forecast:

BX is projected for $122.00 to $130.00 in 25 days, based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators. This range considers the 50-day SMA ($133.40), RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR of $3.80).

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast of $122.00 to $130.00:

• Bull Call Spread: Buy 1 BX 261016C00125000 call at $6.50, Sell 1 BX 261016C00130000 call at $4.15; Expiration: 2026-10-16. Risk/Reward: 1:1.5
• Bear Put Spread: Buy 1 BX 261016P00125000 put at $4.90, Sell 1 BX 261016P00120000 put at $3.10; Expiration: 2026-10-16. Risk/Reward: 1:1.2
• Iron Condor: Buy 1 BX 261016P00120000 put at $3.10, Sell 1 BX 261016P00125000 put at $4.90; Buy 1 BX 261016C00130000 call at $4.15, Sell 1 BX 261016C00135000 call at $2.52; Expiration: 2026-10-16. Risk/Reward: 1:2

Risk Factors:

• Technical warning signs: RSI indicates oversold conditions, but MACD and SMA trends suggest bearishness.
• Sentiment divergences: Options sentiment is bullish, but technicals are bearish.
• Volatility and ATR: Recent volatility could impact the stock price.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall Bias: Neutral/Bearish

Conviction Level: Medium

One-line Trade Idea: BX shows mixed signals; defined risk strategies recommended.