TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
BILI Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:18 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
BILI (Bilibili Inc. American Depositary Shares) at $15.49. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 88% / put 12%, call $36,657 vs put $5,060. RSI 39.0.
- Symbol
- BILI
- Price
- $15.49
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-10 16:18:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: Calls account for 87.9% of the total dollar volume, indicating strong bullish conviction.
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations: The options flow suggests that traders expect the stock to move higher in the near term.
Key Statistics: BILI
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for BILI include:
- Bilibili's 2026 Q2 revenue growth slows down due to increased competition in the Chinese gaming and social media market.
- The company announces a strategic partnership with a major gaming hardware manufacturer to enhance its esports capabilities.
- Bilibili faces increased scrutiny from regulatory bodies regarding content moderation and user data privacy.
These headlines may impact BILI's stock performance, with potential catalysts including earnings reports, regulatory developments, and shifts in the competitive landscape.
Fundamental Analysis:
No fundamental data provided.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $15.47
Recent price action: The stock has been trending downward, with a recent low of $15.16 and a high of $19.47 in the last 30 days.
Key support and resistance levels: $15.07 (Bollinger Band lower bound), $16.4 (SMA 20), $17.44 (SMA 50)
Intraday momentum and trends: The stock is showing a slight increase in intraday momentum, with a current RSI of 38.98.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
SMA trends: The stock is currently below its 5, 20, and 50-day SMAs, indicating a bearish trend.
RSI interpretation: The RSI is in the oversold region, which could indicate a potential reversal.
MACD signals: The MACD is bearish, with a histogram of -0.11.
Bollinger Bands position: The stock is near the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands, which could indicate a potential bounce.
30-day high/low context: The stock is currently near the lower end of its 30-day range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis: Calls account for 87.9% of the total dollar volume, indicating strong bullish conviction.
Pure directional positioning suggests near-term expectations: The options flow suggests that traders expect the stock to move higher in the near term.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
25-Day Price Forecast:
BILI is projected for $14.50 to $16.50
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, the stock is expected to trade within this range over the next 25 days.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy the $15.00 call and sell the $17.00 call, expiring on 2026-10-16.
- Bear Put Spread: Buy the $15.00 put and sell the $13.00 put, expiring on 2026-10-16.
- Iron Condor: Sell the $15.00 call and buy the $17.00 call, while selling the $13.00 put and buying the $11.00 put, expiring on 2026-10-16.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs or weaknesses: The stock is currently below its 5, 20, and 50-day SMAs.
- Sentiment divergences from price action: The options flow is bullish, while the technical indicators are bearish.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: The ATR is 0.58, indicating moderate volatility.
View BILI Options Chain