TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
AZO Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 05:03 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
AZO (AutoZone, Inc.) at $2876.75. True Sentiment Balanced, delta 40-60 call 43% / put 57%, call $1,203,270 vs put $1,568,870. RSI 40.7.
- Symbol
- AZO
- Price
- $2876.75
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 17:03:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall Sentiment: Balanced
Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Calls: $1.20 billion, Puts: $1.57 billion
The sentiment is currently balanced, with a slight bias towards puts.
Key Statistics: AZO
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 19.81 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | -17.53 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $145.45 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | -89.00% |
| Net Margin | 12.40% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $19.99B |
| Debt/Equity | -8.51 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for AZO include:
- Autozone (AZO) reported strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst estimates.
- The company announced plans to expand its operations in the European market.
- AZO's stock has been under pressure due to concerns over supply chain disruptions.
These headlines may impact the stock's technical and sentiment analysis, as strong earnings and expansion plans could be bullish, while supply chain concerns could be bearish.
Fundamental Analysis:
Revenue Growth: Not provided in the data.
Profit Margins: Gross margin: 51.75%, Operating margin: 18.02%, Net margin: 12.40%
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Trailing EPS: $145.45
P/E Ratio: 19.81
Valuation: The stock's P/E ratio is 19.81, which may indicate a relatively fair valuation.
Key Fundamental Strengths/Concerns:
- Strengths: Strong revenue ($19.99 billion), high gross margins (51.75%), and significant operating cash flow ($3.07 billion).
- Concerns: High debt-to-equity ratio (-8.51), negative return on equity (-0.89%).
Current Market Position:
Current Price: $2876.75
Recent Price Action: The stock has been trending downward, with a recent low of $2865.13.
Key Support/Resistance Levels:
- Support: $2869.02 (Bollinger Band lower bound)
- Resistance: $3081.79 (Bollinger Band upper bound)
Technical Analysis:
SMA Trends:
- 5-day SMA: $2920.82
- 20-day SMA: $2975.41
- 50-day SMA: $3014.82
The stock is currently below all three SMAs, indicating a bearish trend.
RSI: 40.67, indicating neutral momentum.
MACD: -35.69, indicating a bearish signal.
Bollinger Bands: The stock is currently near the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands.
30-day High/Low: The stock is currently near the lower end of its 30-day range.
Technical Indicators
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall Sentiment: Balanced
Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Calls: $1.20 billion, Puts: $1.57 billion
The sentiment is currently balanced, with a slight bias towards puts.
Key Price Levels:
25-Day Price Forecast:
AZO is projected for $2800.00 to $3000.00
The forecast is based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy 1 call option with a strike price of $2900.00 and sell 1 call option with a strike price of $3000.00.
- Bear Put Spread: Buy 1 put option with a strike price of $2800.00 and sell 1 put option with a strike price of $2700.00.
- Iron Condor: Sell 1 call option with a strike price of $2950.00, buy 1 call option with a strike price of $3000.00, sell 1 put option with a strike price of $2850.00, and buy 1 put option with a strike price of $2800.00.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs or weaknesses: The stock is currently below its SMAs, indicating a bearish trend.
- Sentiment divergences from price action: The sentiment is currently balanced, but the price action is bearish.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: The ATR is currently at 58.32, indicating high volatility.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall Bias: Bearish
Conviction Level: Medium
One-line Trade Idea: Consider a bearish strategy, such as a bear put spread or an iron condor, to capitalize on the expected downward movement.
Trading Recommendation
- Consider a bear put spread with strikes at $2800 and $2850
- Target $2800 (2.5% downside)
- Stop loss at $2900 (3.5% risk)
- Risk/Reward ratio: 2:1