TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
ASML Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:57 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
ASML (ASML Holding NV) at $1705.37. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 26% / put 74%, call $4,664,510 vs put $13,338,940. RSI 42.2.
- Symbol
- ASML
- Price
- $1705.37
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:57:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall Sentiment: Bearish, with a put-call ratio of 74.1%.
Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Put dollar volume ($13338940) is significantly higher than call dollar volume ($4664510), indicating bearish sentiment.
Key Statistics: ASML
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for ASML include:
- ASML's 2026 outlook remains positive despite recent market volatility.
- The company has announced plans to expand its manufacturing capacity in response to growing demand for its lithography systems.
- ASML has also been investing in research and development to improve its technology and stay ahead of competitors.
These headlines suggest that ASML is well-positioned for long-term growth, but recent market trends and technical indicators may impact the stock's short-term performance.
Fundamental Analysis:
Revenue Growth Rate: The provided data does not include revenue growth rates or fundamental data. Therefore, we will focus on technical and sentiment analysis.
Current Market Position:
Current Price: $1705.19
Recent Price Action: The stock has been experiencing volatility, with a recent price range of $1700-$1800.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Technical Analysis:
SMA Trends:
RSI: 42.23, which is in the neutral range but leaning towards oversold territory.
MACD: -14.43, indicating a bearish signal.
Bollinger Bands: The stock is currently near the lower band, indicating potential oversold conditions.
30-day High/Low: The stock is near the lower end of its 30-day range, indicating potential support.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall Sentiment: Bearish, with a put-call ratio of 74.1%.
Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Put dollar volume ($13338940) is significantly higher than call dollar volume ($4664510), indicating bearish sentiment.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $1700.00
Resistance: $1800.00
Entry: $1720.00
Target: $1750.00
Stop Loss: $1680.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
ASML is projected for $1695.00 to $1725.00 based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, here are three defined risk strategy recommendations:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy ASML 2026-10-16 1720.0 C and sell ASML 2026-10-16 1770.0 C. This strategy has a max profit of $50 and a max loss of $50.
- Bear Put Spread: Buy ASML 2026-10-16 1720.0 P and sell ASML 2026-10-16 1670.0 P. This strategy has a max profit of $50 and a max loss of $50.
- Iron Condor: Buy ASML 2026-10-16 1670.0 P and sell ASML 2026-10-16 1720.0 P, and buy ASML 2026-10-16 1770.0 C and sell ASML 2026-10-16 1820.0 C. This strategy has a max profit of $100 and a max loss of $100.
Risk Factors:
- Technical Warning Signs: The stock is currently below its SMA trends, indicating a bearish signal.
- Sentiment Divergences: The put-call ratio indicates bearish sentiment, which may impact the stock's short-term performance.
- Volatility: The stock has been experiencing high volatility, which may impact the performance of defined risk strategies.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall Bias: Bearish
Conviction Level: Medium
One-line Trade Idea: Consider a bear put spread or iron condor to capitalize on potential downside movement.
View ASML Options Chain