TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
AMR Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 03:24 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.) at $210.59. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 100% / put 0%, call $23,803,340 vs put $22,290. RSI 50.4.
- Symbol
- AMR
- Price
- $210.59
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bullish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 15:24:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $23803340.0
- Put dollar volume: $22290.0
The conviction is strongly bullish, with calls significantly outweighing puts.
Key Statistics: AMR
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for AMR include significant insider purchases. Kenneth S. Courtis, Director of Alpha Metallurgical Resources, bought 10,000 shares at $225.83, totaling $2.26 million. This purchase was highlighted by multiple sources, including ShortSideIO and insider_daily, indicating a bullish sentiment among insiders.
Another notable headline mentions that AMR was among the most searched small-cap stocks on September 10th, as reported by SmCapStrategist.
These headlines suggest that there is increased interest and confidence in AMR from both insiders and the market, which could be a positive catalyst for the stock.
X/Twitter Sentiment (live xAI x_search, cited only):
| User | Post | Sentiment | Time | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SmCapStrategist | Most searched small-cap stocks, Thu Sept 10th - $PURR $KEEL $AEO $OPEN $EOSE $TNON $WRD $WING $XXI $WU $SOUN $OBE $LQWDF $LEU $IQ $BKV $ATER $AMR $ALLO $ACVA | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 23:28:15 GMT | https://x.com/SmCapStrategist/status/2098191853900144910 |
| ShortSideIO | 🚨 INSIDER ALERT — $AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.) Significant open-market purchase: 10.0K shares @ $225.83 = $2.26M Insider: Courtis Kenneth S. | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 21:40:49 GMT | https://x.com/ShortSideIO/status/2098164819857637684 |
| MMatters22596 | 4. $AMR Director Kenneth S. Courtis bought a combined $10.55m Director Michael Gorzynski bought $2.09m | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 18:50:13 GMT | https://x.com/MMatters22596/status/2098121884927774785 |
| ApolloPerforms | Paging the one man buyback show now, Kenneth Courtis! $AMR | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 16:13:47 GMT | https://x.com/ApolloPerforms/status/2098082518326985108 |
| KiroxDa56879 | $AMR Target price for Tomorrow👀 https://discord-trader.blogspot.com | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 15:45:27 GMT | https://x.com/KiroxDa56879/status/2098075389772079170 |
| B2Investor | $AMR daily | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 14:00:17 GMT | https://x.com/B2Investor/status/2098048923193532506 |
| B2Investor | $AMR monthly | Neutral | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 13:58:24 GMT | https://x.com/B2Investor/status/2098048446817079701 |
| insider_daily | 🟢 Kenneth S. Courtis, Director of Alpha Metallurgical Resources just bought $2.3M of $AMR 10,000 shares at $225.83 · Now holds 1,035,394 shares Sep 08 · SEC Form 4 🔗 | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 05:20:36 GMT | https://x.com/insider_daily/status/2097918140269130136 |
| insider_daily | 🟢 Top Insider Buys — Sep 08 $GPI — Conifer Management, L.L.C. (10% Owner) bought $40.6M $PAMT — Matthew T Moroun (Director, 10% Owner) bought $31.2M $INBX — Mark Lappe (Director, Chief Executive Officer) bought $2.6M $AMR — Kenneth S. Courtis (Director) bought $2.3M | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 05:12:15 GMT | https://x.com/insider_daily/status/2097916038218133872 |
| insider_daily | 🟢 Kenneth S. Courtis, Director of Alpha Metallurgical Resources just bought $2.3M of $AMR 10,000 shares at $225.83 · Now holds 1,035,394 shares Sep 08 · SEC Form 4 🔗 | Bullish | Thu, 10 Sep 2026 05:09:51 GMT | https://x.com/insider_daily/status/2097915435710546346 |
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided data, a comprehensive fundamental analysis cannot be fully conducted. However, key observations include:
- Revenue growth rate (YoY and recent trends): Not provided in the data.
- Profit margins (gross, operating, net margins): Not provided in the data.
- Earnings per share (EPS) and recent earnings trends: Not provided in the data.
- P/E ratio and valuation compared to sector/peers: Not provided in the data.
- Key fundamental strengths or concerns (Debt/Equity, ROE, Free Cash Flow): Not provided in the data.
- Analyst consensus and target price context: Not provided in the data.
Given the lack of fundamental data, the analysis will focus on technical and sentiment indicators.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $210.59
Recent price action: The stock has seen a decline from recent highs, with the current price below the 50-day SMA of $173.33 (not directly provided but inferred from indicators).
Key support and resistance levels: Not directly provided, but inferred from recent price action and indicators.
Intraday momentum and trends: The last 5-minute bars show price movement around $210.59 with volumes ranging from 261 to 1878.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends (5, 20, 50-day):
- SMA 5: $220.88
- SMA 20: $211.22
- SMA 50: $173.33
The stock is currently below the SMA 5 and SMA 20 but above SMA 50, indicating a mixed trend.
RSI 14: 50.38, which is neutral.
MACD: 14.4 (MACD), 11.52 (Signal), 2.88 (Histogram), indicating a bullish signal.
Bollinger Bands: Middle $211.22, Upper $253.53, Lower $168.9. The stock is near the middle band.
ATR 14: 11.98, indicating moderate volatility.
30-day high/low: High $242.5, Low $133.64. The stock is currently near the lower end of this range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bullish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $23803340.0
- Put dollar volume: $22290.0
The conviction is strongly bullish, with calls significantly outweighing puts.
Key Price Levels (observational only):
Support: $206.8 (recent intraday low)
Resistance: $225.83 (recent insider purchase price)
Entry: $210.59 (current price)
Target: $220.88 (SMA 5)
Stop Loss: $206.8 (recent intraday low)
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends, AMR is projected for $215.00 to $230.00.
Rationale: The current price is $210.59, with a bullish MACD signal and RSI near neutral. The SMA 5 at $220.88 could act as resistance, while the SMA 50 at $173.33 provides a longer-term support. Moderate volatility (ATR 14: 11.98) and the bullish sentiment from options flow support a potential move upwards.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the 25-day price forecast of $215.00 to $230.00, recommended strategies include:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $215.0 call, sell $220.0 call. This aligns with the projected price increase and limits risk.
- Protective Put: Buy $210.0 put. This could protect against downside risk if the stock moves against the bullish forecast.
- Iron Condor: Sell $215.0 call, buy $220.0 call, sell $205.0 put, buy $200.0 put. This strategy profits from a stable or slightly increasing price range.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI near neutral, potential for volatility.
- Sentiment divergences: Options sentiment is bullish, but technicals show mixed signals.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: Moderate volatility could impact price movements.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: Consider bullish strategies on AMR given insider purchases and bullish options sentiment.
View AMR Options Chain