TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
ADSK Trading Analysis - 09/10/2026 04:23 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
ADSK (Autodesk Inc) at $211.61. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 36% / put 64%, call $2,042,140 vs put $3,557,170. RSI 29.2.
- Symbol
- ADSK
- Price
- $211.61
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- bearish
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-10 16:23:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:
- Call dollar volume: $2,042,140
- Put dollar volume: $3,557,170
- Call %: 36.5%
- Put %: 63.5%
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a higher put dollar volume and percentage. This suggests that traders are positioning for a downward move in the stock price.
Key Statistics: ADSK
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 26.76 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 38.97 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $7.72 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 48.54% |
| Net Margin | 21.08% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.79B |
| Debt/Equity | 0.74 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for Autodesk (ADSK) include:
- Autodesk's Q2 earnings report showed strong revenue growth, with total revenue of $1.95 billion, up 20% year-over-year.
- The company announced a new partnership with a major architecture firm to provide design and engineering software solutions.
- ADSK has been investing heavily in artificial intelligence and machine learning, with the launch of new AI-powered features in its software products.
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for ADSK, with strong revenue growth and increasing adoption of its software solutions. However, the impact of these developments on the stock price needs to be analyzed in conjunction with technical and sentiment data.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Total Revenue: $7,790,000,000
- Trailing EPS: $7.72
- Trailing P/E: 26.76
- Price-to-Book: 38.97
- Debt-to-Equity: 0.74
- Return on Equity (ROE): 0.49
- Gross Margins: 0.91
- Operating Margins: 0.26
- Profit Margins: 0.21
The company's revenue growth rate is not provided, but the high gross, operating, and profit margins indicate a strong financial position. The P/E ratio of 26.76 suggests a relatively fair valuation. However, the high price-to-book ratio of 38.97 may indicate overvaluation. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 is manageable, and the ROE of 0.49 indicates a good return on shareholders' equity.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $211.61
Recent price action: The stock has been trending downward, with a 50-day SMA of $231.56 and a 20-day SMA of $243.98.
Intraday momentum and trends: The minute bars show a relatively stable price action in the last few hours, with a slight increase in volume.
Technical Analysis:
Technical Indicators
The RSI of 29.24 indicates oversold conditions, and the MACD of -4.92 suggests a bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is below the 20-day SMA, indicating a downward trend. The Bollinger Bands show that the price is near the lower band, indicating potential support.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume analysis:
- Call dollar volume: $2,042,140
- Put dollar volume: $3,557,170
- Call %: 36.5%
- Put %: 63.5%
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a higher put dollar volume and percentage. This suggests that traders are positioning for a downward move in the stock price.
Key Price Levels:
Support levels: $206.33 (recent low)
Resistance levels: $271.72 (recent high)
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on the current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, ADSK is projected for $208.00 to $220.00 in 25 days.
The projection is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR). The support and resistance levels are expected to act as barriers or targets for the stock price.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, we recommend the following defined risk strategies:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy ADSK 261016C00210000 (strike $210.0) and sell ADSK 261016C00220000 (strike $220.0)
- Bear Put Spread: Buy ADSK 261016P00210000 (strike $210.0) and sell ADSK 261016P00200000 (strike $200.0)
- Iron Condor: Sell ADSK 261016C00215000 (strike $215.0) and buy ADSK 261016C00205000 (strike $205.0), while selling ADSK 261016P00215000 (strike $215.0) and buying ADSK 261016P00205000 (strike $205.0)
These strategies align with the projected price range and offer a defined risk-reward profile.
Risk Factors:
- Technical warning signs: RSI oversold conditions may lead to a bounce-back
- Sentiment divergences: Bearish options flow sentiment may not align with the technical indicators
- Volatility and ATR considerations: High volatility may impact the strategy performance
Traders should be aware of these risk factors and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Bearish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: ADSK may experience a short-term bounce-back due to oversold conditions, but the bearish trend is expected to continue.
View ADSK Options Chain