ADP Trading Analysis - 09/22/2026 03:13 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

ADP (Automatic Data Processing) at $269.45. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 79% / put 21%, call $471,680 vs put $123,340. RSI 33.1.

TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral

ADP Trading Analysis - 09/22/2026 03:13 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT

Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart

ADP (Automatic Data Processing) at $269.45. True Sentiment Bullish, delta 40-60 call 79% / put 21%, call $471,680 vs put $123,340. RSI 33.1.

Symbol
ADP
Price
$269.45
Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
bullish
Conviction
medium
Published
2026-09-22 15:13:00 ET
Author
DeltaNeutral staff

TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall Options Flow Sentiment: Bullish.

Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Call dollar volume is $471,680, and put dollar volume is $123,340, indicating a bullish bias.

Pure Directional Positioning: The sentiment suggests near-term expectations are bullish.

Key Statistics: ADP

$269.94 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$188.16 - $294.46
Market Cap
$108.87B
P/E (TTM)
24.67
PEG Ratio
N/A
Beta
N/A
Next Earnings
N/A
Avg Volume
$2.74M
Dividend Yield
N/A

Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (Trailing)24.67
P/E (Forward)N/A
PEG RatioN/A
Price/Book18.05

Profitability

EPS (Trailing)$10.94
EPS (Forward)N/A
ROE73.18%
Net Margin20.11%

Financial Health

Revenue (TTM)$21.95B
Debt/Equity9.48
Free Cash FlowN/A
Rev GrowthN/A

Analyst Consensus

None
Target: $N/A
Based on None Analysts

📈 Analysis

News Headlines & Context:

Recent news headlines for ADP include:

  • ADP reports strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations.
  • Company announces plans to expand its workforce management solutions.
  • ADP's new product launch receives positive reviews from industry experts.

These headlines suggest that ADP has been performing well financially and has a positive outlook for future growth. The company's strong earnings report and new product launches could be significant catalysts for the stock.

Fundamental Analysis:

Revenue Growth: The provided FUNDAMENTALS data does not give a clear revenue growth rate, but the total revenue is $21,947,400,000.

Profit Margins: The gross margin is 46.42%, operating margin is 24.24%, and profit margin is 20.11%.

Earnings Per Share (EPS): The trailing EPS is $10.94.

P/E Ratio and Valuation: The trailing P/E ratio is 24.67. The PEG ratio is not provided.

Key Fundamental Strengths or Concerns:

  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 9.48.
  • Return on equity (ROE) is 73.18%.

Analyst Consensus and Target Price: Not provided.

Current Market Position:

Current Price: $269.36.

Recent Price Action: The stock has been trading in a range with a recent high of $273 and low of $266.30.

Key Support and Resistance Levels:

  • SMA 5: $271.19.
  • SMA 20: $276.31.
  • SMA 50: $269.33.

Intraday Momentum and Trends: The intraday momentum is neutral with a slight bullish bias.

Technical Analysis:

SMA Trends:

  • SMA 5: $271.19.
  • SMA 20: $276.31.
  • SMA 50: $269.33.

RSI: The RSI (14) is 33.06, indicating oversold conditions.

MACD: The MACD is 0.13, with a signal line of 0.10 and a histogram of 0.03, indicating a bullish crossover.

Bollinger Bands: The price is near the lower band, indicating potential support.

30-Day High/Low: The 30-day high is $288 and low is $264.86.

True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):

Overall Options Flow Sentiment: Bullish.

Call vs Put Dollar Volume: Call dollar volume is $471,680, and put dollar volume is $123,340, indicating a bullish bias.

Pure Directional Positioning: The sentiment suggests near-term expectations are bullish.

Key Price Levels:

  • Support: $266.30.
  • Resistance: $276.31.

25-Day Price Forecast:

ADP is projected for $267.50 to $275.00.

The projection is based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators. The stock is expected to trade within a range, with potential support at $269.33 (SMA 50) and resistance at $276.31 (SMA 20).

Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:

Based on the price forecast, the following defined risk strategies are recommended:

  • Bull Call Spread: Buy 1 ADP 261016C00270000 (strike $270.00, ask $7.80) and sell 1 ADP 261016C00275000 (strike $275.00, bid $4.80).
  • Bear Put Spread: Buy 1 ADP 261016P00270000 (strike $270.00, ask $7.00) and sell 1 ADP 261016P00265000 (strike $265.00, bid $4.80).
  • Iron Condor: Sell 1 ADP 261016C00270000 (strike $270.00, ask $7.80) and buy 1 ADP 261016C00275000 (strike $275.00, bid $4.80), while selling 1 ADP 261016P00270000 (strike $270.00, ask $7.00) and buying 1 ADP 261016P00265000 (strike $265.00, bid $4.80).

Risk Factors:

  • Technical warning signs or weaknesses: RSI indicates oversold conditions.
  • Sentiment divergences from price action: Options sentiment is bullish, but technicals are neutral.
  • Volatility and ATR considerations: ATR is 5.45.

Summary & Conviction Level:

Overall Bias: Bullish.

Conviction Level: Medium.

One-Line Trade Idea: Buy ADP with a target price of $275.00.


View ADP Options Chain
Bear Put Spread 270 265 270-265 Bear Put Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Bull Call Spread 270 275 270-275 Bull Call Spread at Expiration Stock Price at Expiration Profit Loss
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or buy any securities. The data and information presented are obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Trading options and stocks involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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