TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
ADP Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:43 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
ADP (Automatic Data Processing) at $267.01. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 28% / put 72%, call $45,480 vs put $119,300. RSI 32.3.
- Symbol
- ADP
- Price
- $267.01
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:43:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
| Option Type | Dollar Volume |
|---|---|
| Call | $45,480 |
| Put | $119,300 |
The sentiment analysis suggests a bearish outlook, but the technical indicators show a neutral to bullish trend.
Key Statistics: ADP
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 24.44 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 17.88 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $10.94 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 73.18% |
| Net Margin | 20.11% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $21.95B |
| Debt/Equity | 9.48 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for ADP include:
- ADP reports strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations
- ADP announces partnership with major tech firm to enhance payroll services
- ADP's new product launch receives positive reviews from customers and analysts
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for ADP, with strong earnings and strategic partnerships. However, the impact of these events on the stock price is not explicitly stated and may be reflected in the technical and sentiment data.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $21,947,400,000
- Trailing EPS: $10.94
- Trailing P/E: 24.44
- Price-to-Book: 17.88
- Debt-to-Equity: 9.48
- Return on Equity (ROE): 0.73
- Gross Margin: 0.46
- Operating Margin: 0.24
- Profit Margin: 0.20
The fundamentals indicate a stable company with a strong revenue base and reasonable valuation metrics. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio may be a concern for some investors.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $266.77
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels:
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Support | $265.00 |
| Resistance | $270.00 |
Intraday momentum and trends: The minute bars show a stable trend with slight fluctuations.
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
| SMA | Price |
|---|---|
| 5-day SMA | $268.98 |
| 20-day SMA | $277.21 |
| 50-day SMA | $265.18 |
RSI (14): 32.26, indicating a slightly oversold condition.
MACD: Bullish, with a histogram of 0.30.
Bollinger Bands: The stock price is near the lower band, indicating a potential bounce.
30-day high/low: The stock is trading near the middle of its 30-day range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
| Option Type | Dollar Volume |
|---|---|
| Call | $45,480 |
| Put | $119,300 |
The sentiment analysis suggests a bearish outlook, but the technical indicators show a neutral to bullish trend.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $265.00
Resistance: $270.00
Entry: $266.50
Target: $272.00
Stop Loss: $262.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current trends and indicators, ADP is projected for $268.00 to $275.00.
The forecast is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, recommended strategies include:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $260.0 call, sell $270.0 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $265.0 put, sell $255.0 put
- Iron Condor: Buy $255.0 put, sell $260.0 put, buy $270.0 call, sell $275.0 call
These strategies align with the projected price range and provide defined risk.
Risk Factors:
Technical warning signs:
- High debt-to-equity ratio
Sentiment divergences:
- Bearish sentiment analysis vs. neutral to bullish technical indicators
Volatility and ATR considerations:
- Recent volatility may impact the stock price
Summary & Conviction Level:
Overall bias: Neutral to Bullish
Conviction level: Medium
One-line trade idea: ADP may experience a bounce in the near term, but investors should be cautious of the high debt-to-equity ratio.
View ADP Options Chain