TRU-SENTIMENT · DeltaNeutral
ADP Trading Analysis - 09/11/2026 02:01 PM — TRU-SENTIMENT
Options chain · Stock chart · Baseline chart
ADP (Automatic Data Processing) at $267.23. True Sentiment Bearish, delta 40-60 call 27% / put 73%, call $40,520 vs put $108,830. RSI 32.6.
- Symbol
- ADP
- Price
- $267.23
- Article bias (separate from True Sentiment)
- neutral
- Conviction
- medium
- Published
- 2026-09-11 14:01:00 ET
- Author
- DeltaNeutral staff
TRUE SENTIMENT ANALYSIS (DELTA 40-60 OPTIONS)
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $40,520
- Put dollar volume: $108,830
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a higher put dollar volume compared to call dollar volume. This suggests that investors are expecting the stock price to decline in the near term.
Key Statistics: ADP
Fundamental Snapshot
Valuation
| P/E (Trailing) | 24.44 |
| P/E (Forward) | N/A |
| PEG Ratio | N/A |
| Price/Book | 17.88 |
Profitability
| EPS (Trailing) | $10.94 |
| EPS (Forward) | N/A |
| ROE | 73.18% |
| Net Margin | 20.11% |
Financial Health
| Revenue (TTM) | $21.95B |
| Debt/Equity | 9.48 |
| Free Cash Flow | N/A |
| Rev Growth | N/A |
Analyst Consensus
📈 Analysis
News Headlines & Context:
Recent news headlines for ADP include:
- ADP reports strong quarterly earnings, beating analyst expectations
- ADP announces partnership with major tech firm to enhance payroll services
- ADP's new product launch receives positive reviews from clients
These headlines suggest a positive outlook for ADP, with strong earnings and strategic partnerships. However, the impact on the stock price will depend on various factors, including the company's ability to sustain growth and navigate competitive pressures.
Fundamental Analysis:
Based on the provided fundamentals data:
- Revenue: $21,947,400,000
- Trailing EPS: $10.94
- Trailing P/E: 24.44
- Price-to-Book: 17.88
- Debt-to-Equity: 9.48
- Return on Equity (ROE): 0.73
The company's revenue and EPS indicate a stable financial position. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio may be a concern for investors. The P/E ratio suggests that the stock may be slightly overvalued compared to its earnings growth.
Current Market Position:
Current price: $267.21
Recent price action: The stock has been trading in a range with a slight upward trend.
Key support and resistance levels:
- Support: $265.00
- Resistance: $270.00
Technical Analysis:
SMA trends:
- 5-day SMA: $269.07
- 20-day SMA: $277.23
- 50-day SMA: $265.19
RSI (14): 32.63 (oversold)
MACD: Bullish
Bollinger Bands: Middle band at $277.23, upper band at $291.84, lower band at $262.62
The stock is currently trading below its 20-day SMA, indicating a potential downtrend. The RSI suggests that the stock may be oversold, which could lead to a rebound. The MACD indicates a bullish signal, but the Bollinger Bands suggest that the stock is trading in a volatile range.
True Sentiment Analysis (Delta 40-60 Options):
Overall options flow sentiment: Bearish
Call vs Put dollar volume:
- Call dollar volume: $40,520
- Put dollar volume: $108,830
The options flow sentiment is bearish, with a higher put dollar volume compared to call dollar volume. This suggests that investors are expecting the stock price to decline in the near term.
Key Price Levels:
Support: $265.00
Resistance: $270.00
Entry: $267.00
Target: $272.00
Stop Loss: $262.00
25-Day Price Forecast:
Based on current technical trends, momentum, and indicators, ADP is projected for $265.00 to $275.00.
The projected price range is based on the current SMA trends, RSI momentum, MACD signals, and recent volatility (ATR). The support and resistance levels are expected to act as barriers or targets for the stock price.
Defined Risk Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the price forecast, the following defined risk strategies are recommended:
- Bull Call Spread: Buy $270.00 call, sell $275.00 call
- Bear Put Spread: Buy $265.00 put, sell $260.00 put
- Iron Condor: Sell $270.00 call, buy $275.00 call, sell $265.00 put, buy $260.00 put
These strategies are designed to profit from a range-bound market with a slight upward bias. The Bull Call Spread and Bear Put Spread are designed to profit from a price increase or decrease, respectively, while the Iron Condor is a neutral strategy that profits from a stable price range.
Risk Factors:
The following risk factors should be considered:
- Technical warning signs or weaknesses: The stock is trading below its 20-day SMA, indicating a potential downtrend.
- Sentiment divergences from price action: The options flow sentiment is bearish, while the technical indicators suggest a bullish signal.
- Volatility and ATR considerations: The stock is trading in a volatile range, which could impact the profitability of the strategies.
Summary & Conviction Level:
The overall bias is neutral, with a medium conviction level based on the alignment of indicators. The trade idea is to consider a defined risk strategy, such as a Bull Call Spread or Bear Put Spread, to profit from a range-bound market.